We picked up an inch of snow from the dry cold front that moved through overnight. That was right in line with what we were thinking. The main low pressure center is moving South into Northern CA this morning and headed our way.
The snow will pick back up later this morning with the heaviest snow expected later this afternoon into the evening. Snow showers will linger through the night. Going to stick with the snowfall forecast from yesterday which is the same since last Thursday. 8-12 inches at the base and 12-18 on the mountain by Wednesday morning.
The next wave for Thursday is looking even more moisture starved than ever. We may see some clouds and a flake.
The following wave drops down on Saturday. The GFS and GEM forecast models keep most of the precip to our North and East with the low sliding down through NV. The ECMWF and JMA models bring in a nice shot of snow with the cold front, dropping several inches on the mountain. We should have a clearer picture in the next day or two.
Next week the ridge retrogrades slightly in the Pacific. The GEM model brings the next system for Tuesday the furthest South with a nice shot of snow. The ECMWF is weaker with the system, and the GFS keeps it just to our North. The inconsistency continues with the final system next Thursday. The GEM & GFS bring in one last shot of snow while the Euro gets a head start on building the ridge over the West and keeps it to our North. Either way it looks unsettled into next week with more chances of snow.
There is agreement in the forecast that a large ridge builds over the Western U.S. the first week of March. The trough in the Pacific sits off shore with the jet stream aimed at the Pacific NW and then shifts North into Canada. There are some hints that the pattern shifts back by the second week of March. Enjoy the fresh snow! BA