The first wave of precip moved through in the early morning hours and is starting to wind down now as of 6 a.m. We weren't expected much from this first wave but it looks like we picked up up a few inches above 6500 ft. on the webcams.
Temperatures and snow levels have been falling all morning as the precip has been falling and the atmosphere has been moistening. Temps are approaching freezing at the base. As the precip lightens and the sun comes up we should see snow levels rise above 7000 ft. for most of the day today.
The next wave of heavier precip moves in later today into tonight. The forecast models seem to be in fairly good agreement that the next wave could bring another 3-6 inches above 7000 ft. by Wednesday morning. We may see another little break in the action Wednesday before a third wave moves through later Wednesday into Wednesday night.
A cold front will be pushing down from the north with this third wave and snow levels should drop below base level by Wednesday night. The forecast models are not in agreement with how strong the wave is later Wednesday. The European forecast model brings 3-6 inches at the base and another 6-9 inches above 7000 ft. The latest runs of the GFS and NAM forecast models this morning put a bullseye near or over Tahoe of another inch of liquid. If that were to verify we could see several more inches at all elevations.
Snow showers look like they could last into Thursday morning before we start to clear out. The ridge builds back in for the weekend with warming and drying conditions.
The long-range forecast models suggest some light snow is possible on Thanksgiving and black Friday. The storm track will be to our North but it's possible we could get the Southern edge of a storm and pick up some light snow. That is still more than a week away though. Stay tuned...BA