Another 1-2 inches of snow fell overnight on the mountain bringing the 48 hour total to 4 inches up top, and the 9 day total to 49 inches.
Skies are cloudy this morning but should begin to clear today with lots of sun and mild temps through Saturday. On Sunday the clouds will increase again ahead of the next system. This system will be pulling in a good amount of subtropical moisture, but most of the precip falls to our North in Northern CA. The question is how much precip pushes Southeast into the Tahoe basin. The latest model runs show the precip holding off until about Sunday evening and then the heaviest precip overnight into Monday morning, with lingering showers into Monday afteroon.
The snow levels start up around 9000 ft. Sunday evening and fall overnight to near 7000 ft. by Monday morning. They continue to fall to base level Monday but the precip is tapering off. The forecaast models were in decent agreement last night on how much precip will fall but are not this morning. Taking an average we could see 3-6 inches of snow on the upper half of the mountain Sunday night into Monday.
By Tuesday the ridge is beginning to build along the West coast. The only change today to the forecast for next week is some model runs showing a colder system moving into the Pacific NW next Friday. That could cool down our temps next Friday.
Next weekend looks dry but the pattern looks to be undergoing some changes. The ridge begins to build out towards 140-150w. Some forecast model runs are showing a system digging down the West Coast around the 17th.
The one thing that looks fairly consistent among the long-range ensemble runs is that the later we get into the month the further West the ridge is in the Pacific and the deeper and colder the trough is in the East Pacific and along the West Coast. This would mean a better chance for cold and snow the later we go into the month.