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37 Inches and Counting for the Week /

Submitted by ba March 3, 2014 - 8:54am Weather

Snow levels yesterday sat around 7000 ft most of the day with off and on snow showers above that.  That brought us another 4 inches of snow at High Camp.  The next system is already pushing onshore this morning.

We should see snow push in later this morning on the mountain.  Snow levels are expected to sit around 7000 ft. again today into tonight.  The precip is expected to taper off by Tuesday morning.  This system has a lot of moisture, but not a lot of forcing to push it into the Tahoe basin.  3-6 inches of snow on the upper mountain by Tuesday morning, maybe a bit more on the highest peaks. 

Ridging builds in over CA Tuesday and Wednesday bringing mild temps and sun.  The next system moves into Northern CA Wednesday night and lasts into Thursday, maybe into Thursday night.  This will be a mild system with high snow levels, at least for the first half of the system.  Snow levels look to start around 9000 ft. Wednesday night and drop to 8000 ft. on Thursday.  At the end of the event Thursday night they drop down near 7000 ft. and base level after most of the precip moves out.  

The models are not agreeing this morning on how far South the heavier precip will push.  Some show a glancing blow with maybe 1-3 inches above 8000 ft in total.  Others have enough liquid for 6-12 inches on the mountain.  We will have to keep watching this storm for snow amounts and snow levels.

By next Friday the ridge is building back in with mild and dry weather into Saturday.   The models have sped up the next system we were watching for the 10th to move in on Sunday the 9th lasting into Monday.  This system looks fairly weak as it weakens as it encounters the ridge, and the snow levels look to be around 7k ft.  

After this system the ridge builds back in.  The forecast models are not in agreement in the long-range but none of them show a pattern setting up that would bring significant snowfall through mid-month.  Some try to bring in a system around the 14th, others keep the ridge in place and storm track to our North.  There is a hint on all of the forecast models that we could see a system just beyond mid-month.  

Stay tuned....BA

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