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30º
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1"
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6"
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7"
Base
62"

1-2 Feet by Thursday /

Submitted by ba March 4, 2013 - 9:02am Weather

We picked up 4 inches of snow up top from the storm on Sunday freshening up the mountain.

Today we will warm up back near 50 degrees but it's quick as the next storm approaches on Tuesday.

The precip may begin to fall along the crest as early as Tuesday afternoon. The temperatures will not be that cold yet so the snow ratios will start low and we could see a mix at lake level. The heavy precip moves in Tuesday night along with plenty of cold air and rising snow:water ratios. It looks like the heaviest snow will fall in the early morning hours Wednesday with the snow turning showery by Wednesday afternoon.

The forecast models are in fairly good agreement finally with precip totals.  Through Wednesday we could see 8-12 inches at the base and 12-15 inches on the mountain.  The snow showers continue Wednesday night with light accumulations possible. Then on Thursday another wave moves through, with snow showers lingering into Thursday night. We could see another 2-4 inches at the base and 4-8 inches on the mountain through Thursday night.

There could be lingering snow showers Friday from wrap around moisture as low pressure moves into Nevada to our South, but we should beging to clear out. Total snowfall by Friday morning reports looks to be around 10-16 inches at the base and, 16-23 inches on the mountain.

We have a break over the weekend as ridging builds in. Next week the ridge will shift into the Gulf of Alaska. The European forecast model runs are still showing my line of thinking with the ridge retrograding Westward and a cold trough digging down the West Coast. Moisture from a low North of Hawaii heads for CA in combination with low pressure off the Pacific NW coast. That brings us snowfall for the second half of next week.

The GFS forecast model was showing this for several days but is now all over the place and currently has a ridge over the West Coast with warm weather the end of next week. We will have to watch the trends this week, but for now we have snow to deal with this week! BA

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