The snow showers accumulated snow a bit further North than expected yesterday. The model precip output only showed 1-3 inches South side of the lake. We ended up with 4 inches on the mountain during the day Sunday.
The atmosphere is already energized this morning and we have some snow flurries falling. A cold front will move through this afternoon and that will be the best chance of seeing some light snow showers and a dusting of snow.
We will have a break Tuesday and Wednesday with cold air in place. Then another front moving down from the North will combine with a system coming in off the Pacific Thursday into Friday. It will be cold and snow ratios will be high with this event. The European forecast model has enough liquid on the latest runs for 2-4 inches of snow at the base and 3-5 inches on the mountian. The GFS forecast model is wetter this morning and shows 4-8 inches at the base and 5-10 inches on the mountain. We can take the average for now at 3-6 inches at the base and 4-8 inches on the mountain by Friday.
Low pressure will setup in the Gulf of Alaska this weekend with a low moving into British Columbia coming underneath. This will direct a moisture plume from across the Pacific down near Hawaii into Northern CA. The question is where will that be pointed? The GFS forecast model this morning is pointing it just to our North with just light amounts of precip Saturday night through Sunday but pushes in enough precip for several inches of snow by Monday. The Canadian and European forecast models are still pushing the moisture plume far enough South for a decent snow event measured in feet.
The models are still split next week with the European and Canadian forecast models showing another storm the middle of next week and the GFS model building the ridge off the coast and pushing the storm track to our North.