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38º
Overnight
0"
24 Hours
0"
7 Day
0"
Base
60"

12-18 Inches of Snow Expected Friday Night /

Submitted by ba December 5, 2013 - 9:06am Weather

Not too many changes to the forecast over the past 24 hours.  Still not total agreement amoung the forecast models on total precip amounts for this storm.  We do know though that temps will be cold Friday night during the brunt of the storm so snow:water ratios will be near 20:1.  That means twice as much snow will pile up as would fall at 32 degrees and 10:1 ratios.

Half of the forecast model runs this morning still show .5 - .75 inches of total liquid over Squaw Valley, while the other half show up to an inch.  For now we'll take an average.  That gives us 10-15 inches at the base and 12-18 inches on the mountain.

This storm will reinforce the cold air keeping highs in the 20's and lows in the single digits into Monday.  The flow turns from Northerly to Westerly by next Tuesday and the ridge build off the coast.  That will start a slight warming trend back into the 40's by midweek.

Some of the forecast models keep the ridge off the coast for the end of next week keeping the storm track to our North.  Then retrograde the ridge away from the coast going into next weekend allowing for some bigger storms into CA.  Other model runs are still consistent on backing up the ridge by next Thursday and bringing in decent storms into the weekend of the 13th.  We should see some more aggreement on how the pattern will setup over the next couple of days.  

Stay tuned...BA

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